UFC · resolved market

UFC 317: Araujo vs. Cortez

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2a9ce123dc21e12c1ba1276de68bb4a1ded139ff6cf9b71e58a7fc08e63118

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cortezof Araujo, Cortez
Resolved: Jun 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $241,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $285,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Cortez	71c	122,340$86,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,022.34	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Araujo	36c	104,212$37,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,510.43	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Cortez	65c	17,000$11,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,989.98	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Araujo	36c	16,464$5,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,922.43	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x460f…9eb7backed Cortez	65c	15,092$9,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,282.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Cortez	65c	12,129$7,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,245	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Araujo	35c	7,262$2,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,548.73	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cortez	62c	5,000$3,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,874.99	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Araujo	35c	4,854$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.52	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cortez	64c	4,000$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Araujo	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc4…da65backed Araujo	36c	2,805$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Cortez	59c	2,762$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.8	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Araujo	16c	2,531$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.98	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Araujo	13c	2,210$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.07	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Cortez	67c	1,691$1,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.35	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Araujo	34c	1,590$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.33	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Araujo	34c	1,442$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.94	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Araujo	33c	1,439$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.79	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Araujo	37c	1,396$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.32	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Araujo	62c	1,381$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.53	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Araujo	37c	1,338$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cortez	64c	1,144$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.98	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Cortez	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cortez	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Cortez	65c	800$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+47%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Cortez	65c	620$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.41	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Araujo	24c	500$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Cortez	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Araujo	32c	499.98$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cortez	67c	491.59$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.33	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Araujo	3c	470$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Araujo	34c	461$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.11	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Araujo	35c	450$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.5	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Cortez	66c	435$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.9	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Araujo	36c	431.78$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.44	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Cortez	62c	400$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Araujo	35c	397.14$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Araujo	33c	345.94$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.47	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Araujo	36c	343$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.48	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Cortez	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Cortez	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ee…caa4backed Araujo	31c	300$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c67…29dbbacked Cortez	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Araujo	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Araujo	37c	270.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Araujo	35c	250$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Araujo	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e4…fd34backed Araujo	35c	186.76$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.87	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Araujo	12c	160$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Cortez	66c	153.03$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.03	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Cortez	69c	144.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.37	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd730…9a24backed Cortez	68c	135.29$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.29	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Araujo	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Cortez	66c	130$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Cortez	65c	123$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.05	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…f230backed Araujo	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Cortez	50c	121.8$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.9	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Araujo	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3930…13b0backed Cortez	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	57cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Araujo	35c	119$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Araujo	20c	116$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.85	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Cortez	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Cortez	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cortez	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Cortez	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Araujo	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Araujo	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Araujo	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Araujo	35c	92$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.27per pick	36cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed Cortez	65c	90$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fb…70b1backed Cortez	60c	83.87$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.87	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd7…7575backed Araujo	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Araujo	36c	81.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Cortez	65c	81.43$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ac…a667backed Cortez	66c	78.16$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Cortez	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7a…13abbacked Araujo	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e15…e4fabacked Cortez	65c	61.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ff2…2602backed Cortez	66c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Cortez	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	181	41.4%75 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3b95backed Cortez	69c	59.76$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.76	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Araujo	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…a91ebacked Cortez	66c	53.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Cortez	65c	50.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.79	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Araujo	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d73…3414backed Araujo	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Araujo	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Cortez	64c	41.26$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Cortez	67c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.65	23	82.6%19 W · 4 L	+5.6wins	+0.24per pick	58cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Araujo	36c	33.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fe…07bdbacked Cortez	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Cortez	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Cortez	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae47…aebebacked Araujo	34c	29.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-69%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb1…cfb4backed Cortez	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1141…971ebacked Cortez	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…b12bbacked Cortez	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Cortez	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe156…d7a6backed Cortez	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 317: Araujo vs. Cortezthis page
UFC 317: Amil vs. DelgadoDelgado won
UFC 317: Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush won
UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines Diniz won
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. RodriguesRodrigues won
UFC 317: McKinney vs. BorshchevMcKinney won
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja won
UFC 317: Price vs. Smith Smith won
UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan won
UFC 317: Talbott vs. LimaTalbott won
UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 317: Araujo vs. Cortez

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event