TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97be…416d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: F1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$173.16
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$82.21
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$28.67
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$243.64
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.9%+$150.06
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$58.24
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54
UFC 323: Aslan vs. Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$36.74
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$93.59
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.01
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$320.02
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$422.01
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$67.9
UFC Fight Night: Landwehr vs. Charrièrebacked Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$32.19
UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. Lanebacked Lane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkosbacked Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. Curtisbacked Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$50.77
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Lima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.05
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$44.61
UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.9
UFC 317: Araujo vs. Cortezbacked Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.79
UFC 317: McKinney vs. Borshchevbacked McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$20.34
UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines backed Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.95
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$199.2
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.34
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.65
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauffbacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$114.55
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.72
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.2
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.99
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$89.76
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$118.5
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.91
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$67.3
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.96
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.49
Wimbledon: Kartal vs. Pavlyuchenkova (W) backed Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.61
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.35
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$103.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.