UFC · resolved market
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926d394fe30a673d044e91e1227b5109090029206b4c06ac75dee4845daa431d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barberof Silva, Barber
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Barber | 69c | 60,040$41,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,641.46 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Silva | 31c | 46,956$14,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,556.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Silva | 32c | 44,216$14,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,024.24 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Barber | 67c | 41,082$27,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,637.3 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Barber | 69c | 15,000$10,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Silva | 29c | 14,886$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Barber | 68c | 13,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Silva | 32c | 12,868$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.49 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Silva | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Silva | 32c | 9,574$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.28 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Silva | 34c | 8,991$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.32 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Silva | 33c | 8,745$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.94 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Silva | 16c | 8,267$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.53 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barber | 67c | 7,555$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.06 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Silva | 32c | 5,847$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.53 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Barber | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Silva | 34c | 5,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Barber | 66c | 4,999$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.7 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Silva | 29c | 4,305$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.53 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Silva | 13c | 4,301$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.38 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Silva | 34c | 4,288$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Silva | 34c | 3,944$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Silva | 34c | 3,401$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.1 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Silva | 30c | 2,623$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.79 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Barber | 64c | 2,342$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.54 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barber | 61c | 2,244$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.32 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Silva | 35c | 2,116$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.4 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Silva | 27c | 2,025$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.59 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…8540backed Barber | 66c | 2,000$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Barber | 65c | 1,952$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.89 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Barber | 64c | 1,873$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.64 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Silva | 44c | 1,576$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Barber | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Barber | 79c | 1,512$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Silva | 36c | 1,506$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.55 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Silva | 37c | 1,361$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.18 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Barber | 65c | 1,349$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Silva | 33c | 1,200$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Barber | 47c | 1,177$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.91 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…7805backed Barber | 54c | 1,160$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…2193backed Silva | 36c | 1,124$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…78cebacked Silva | 35c | 1,105$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Silva | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Silva | 36c | 1,083$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Silva | 17c | 1,076$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Silva | 27c | 1,034$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barber | 52c | 991.1$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.54 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Barber | 66c | 945$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Silva | 35c | 899.94$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Barber | 75c | 879.58$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Barber | 68c | 830.88$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…c052backed Barber | 65c | 815$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Barber | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…ca55backed Barber | 77c | 781.88$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Silva | 33c | 777$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Barber | 64c | 775.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Barber | 68c | 772.06$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Barber | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Silva | 34c | 701.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Barber | 68c | 700$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Silva | 34c | 695.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…c28dbacked Silva | 35c | 667$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Silva | 34c | 629.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed Silva | 35c | 614$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Silva | 34c | 603.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Silva | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Silva | 29c | 584.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Silva | 36c | 557$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Silva | 36c | 555.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Barber | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…a742backed Barber | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…553dbacked Barber | 65c | 478$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…6567backed Barber | 65c | 474$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Barber | 70c | 473.57$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Silva | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Barber | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Barber | 68c | 445.59$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Silva | 33c | 430.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Silva | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Barber | 65c | 428.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Silva | 35c | 426.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Barber | 64c | 420.7$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Barber | 62c | 420.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Barber | 67c | 418.73$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…8334backed Barber | 66c | 415$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Silva | 18c | 408.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Barber | 70c | 382.09$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Silva | 33c | 380$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Barber | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Barber | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Barber | 68c | 355.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Silva | 39c | 350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Silva | 48c | 347.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Barber | 65c | 343.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Silva | 34c | 337$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Silva | 33c | 327$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Silva | 24c | 313.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Barber | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Barber | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…2a7ebacked Silva | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.