TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9363…3608

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST6462.5%40 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.64
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.9
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$275
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+103.3%+$558.94
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$840.5
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$480
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$530
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$250
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.4%+$315.5
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+54.4%+$352.5
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+39.8%+$346.84
UFC 323: Aslan vs. Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Aslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$99
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$337.5
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$210
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oezdemir · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.7%+$332.14
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.3%+$347.5
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+203%+$66.99
UFC Fight Night: Cerqueira vs. Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Cerqueira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+84.7%+$458.5
UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. Loder (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Naurdiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$112.5
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+245.9%+$41.02
Tigre 2: Guido Justo vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.75
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+77.2%+$8.71
Lugano: Nerman Fatic vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.1
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Norrie (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$680
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$10
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$939.68
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+170.3%+$94.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.2%+$407.63
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$101.92
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$155.05
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$690
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.1%+$192.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$132.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+55.5%+$574.7
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$92.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.6%+$497.13
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$141.34
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37.9%+$550
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$105
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.7
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.15
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.18
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$625
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+143.9%+$147.5
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$628.58
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will Gabon vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+36.1%+$132.5
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50.1
Will France win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.7%+$86.23
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$433.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$850
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+73.7%+$148.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,149.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+32.2%+$121.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+30.3%+$199.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$122
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.