TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No76c12,366$9,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.1196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c8,911$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3502454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.998463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.083423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.8837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c2,200$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c2,186$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.1527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes37c2,000$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c1,983$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c1,809$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c1,449$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7f…472ebacked No73c1,438$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…93f4backed Yes27c1,436$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.971566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c1,255$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.853253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes27c1,247$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes20c1,020$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,019$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.461,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No62c950.13$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No74c944.98$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.055369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No74c858$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c800$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22022947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes43c702.44$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.057145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes4c700$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No69c664.98$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.743060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce0…e809backed Yes27c552.12$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes26c424.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3813040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes27c416.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.813850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes27c415.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.155933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c371.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c362.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes27c313.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Yes19c251.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…b777backed Yes27c250.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes27c248.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes32c248$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4413754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes27c204$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.081020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c199.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7626046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355855.2%32 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Yes28c185.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.953920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes29c182.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00e1…80c3backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c170$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No73c157$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a44…30c4backed Yes41c136.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes15c134.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…c8bbbacked Yes27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c128.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58b…5f34backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf59b…3c66backed Yes27c91.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Yes28c89.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd180…aa0cbacked No73c89.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes17c86.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Yes28c85.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.862365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb80a…53e4backed Yes47c70.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1215045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Yes27c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.392045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Yes27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes25c54.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…a9f6backed Yes32c48.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No62c47.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.211850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed No73c47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes28c44.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1293…9587backed Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes26c43.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb492…586cbacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Yes41c39.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes29c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46c…54f1backed Yes38c33.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c92…956fbacked Yes34c30.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab81…249abacked Yes34c30.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked No66c30.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.