TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf58b…5f34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
277
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT15643.6%68 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$709.11
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.2
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.36
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$215.6
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$193.52
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.22
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.73
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$61.04
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,473.04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.3
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.3
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$1,539.18
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.98
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.26
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$1,599.13
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.71
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7028.6%20 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$677.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$52.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,480
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.5
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+183%+$3,879.98
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.71
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.98
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+184%+$827.77
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.75
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.99
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$178.16
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$1,614.02
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$234.56
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$363.4
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.5%+$314
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$780.72
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$824.92
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+45.6%+$211.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statebacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$51.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$37.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$132.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$585.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.