Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb258ad8eb8cc3cf710e6144521f50bd9d868a2b9387df8107f27d680ac38fcc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x473c…4f61backed No | 13c | 5,191$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 69c | 3,441$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.52 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 4c | 3,389$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 76c | 2,759$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 14c | 2,426$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 75c | 2,182$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.02 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 6c | 2,149$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed No | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,807$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 19c | 1,764$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed No | 21c | 1,592$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 159 | 22.6%36 W · 123 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 78c | 1,540$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5969…5bedbacked Yes | 79c | 1,484$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked No | 37c | 1,207$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 35c | 1,167$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.97 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…0dcbbacked No | 14c | 1,130$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…263bbacked No | 8c | 1,026$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…c539backed No | 15c | 1,004$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ae…5b63backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…22a1backed Yes | 76c | 894.33$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 18c | 890$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 70c | 697.54$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 18c | 696.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…7073backed No | 7c | 678.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…39d8backed No | 11c | 677.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…edbebacked Yes | 80c | 609.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 10c | 572.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 13c | 505.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…a8c5backed No | 12c | 484.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 4c | 446.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…2b1ebacked No | 15c | 432.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…716fbacked No | 15c | 430.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 58c | 424.45$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 360.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 72c | 295$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…c2d2backed No | 34c | 294.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 10c | 283.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 57c | 262.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 8c | 261.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 66c | 252$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 6c | 249.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed No | 8c | 248$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…cf43backed No | 10c | 247.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…6ce4backed Yes | 74c | 244.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…efdbbacked No | 14c | 242.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 28c | 240.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 7c | 236.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked No | 11c | 232.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…ce71backed No | 15c | 230.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 70c | 215.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed No | 19c | 205.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 51c | 205.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…8090backed No | 7c | 203.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c285backed No | 35c | 202.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe35f…f7f8backed No | 25c | 201.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed No | 19c | 199.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked No | 13c | 193.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 191.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…bcfdbacked No | 54c | 178.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked No | 23c | 177.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…e8a9backed No | 17c | 177.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 37c | 173.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d45…9b63backed No | 21c | 167.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 17c | 158.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…5f28backed Yes | 68c | 147.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked No | 34c | 145.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 8c | 134.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…3840backed No | 8c | 133.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…7756backed No | 46c | 133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 129.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…9700backed No | 23c | 128.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 30c | 127.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…5467backed Yes | 79c | 127.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 125.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…66fbbacked Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 25c | 119.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 16c | 109.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 39c | 104.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 32c | 100.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…31b6backed Yes | 70c | 100.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 42c | 71.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…c3e7backed No | 28c | 70.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 73c | 68.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 71c | 67.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 73c | 67.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 33c | 65.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…b31cbacked Yes | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 60c | 62.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Yes | 62c | 52.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?this page
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.