TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe35f…f7f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+95%+$47.48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$30.12
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.91
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$106.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+279.6%+$65.53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$104.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$68.54
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$123.53
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$188.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$12.75
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.89
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$44.66
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series of Poker – American winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.