Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a1c1f0a77d37c9876738f37dcd68d6993a15f0b7e4a8cee9ad52f0d5ab0e8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,043$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 1c | 7,030$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed Yes | 6c | 6,136$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 5c | 5,002$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 1c | 4,987$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,757$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3d…ecfebacked Yes | 1c | 3,553$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ce0ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,495$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…04cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,307$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,501$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,366$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,219$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,932$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…f124backed Yes | 1c | 1,711$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed Yes | 5c | 1,710$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 3c | 1,708$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…356cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,677$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…ade8backed Yes | 4c | 1,673$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,628$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,617$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed Yes | 24c | 1,584$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 21cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,573$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99a…49abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,563$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…999cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,501$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,462$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 1,371$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…b305backed Yes | 1c | 1,363$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,319$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da3…8440backed Yes | 3c | 1,257$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…1247backed Yes | 5c | 1,255$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…d4b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…cf02backed Yes | 5c | 1,022$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 4c | 994.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 6c | 928.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…d888backed Yes | 6c | 928$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 32c | 869$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 32c | 837$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed Yes | 2c | 801.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…c81bbacked Yes | 7c | 785.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…9422backed Yes | 3c | 758.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed Yes | 10c | 703.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…8711backed Yes | 2c | 687.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 5c | 655$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…3022backed No | 62c | 650$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 4c | 610.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 68c | 596$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 8c | 577.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 68c | 567$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 41c | 556.82$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked No | 77c | 556$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 23c | 556$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 68c | 543$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 4c | 529.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 61c | 486.11$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 463.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed No | 78c | 460.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…5c19backed Yes | 11c | 456.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…d3f2backed Yes | 62c | 422.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 7c | 421.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 50c | 398.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…9a74backed Yes | 14c | 388.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 21c | 371.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c9abbacked No | 35c | 361.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 3c | 350.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…454fbacked Yes | 15c | 339.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6749…ef34backed No | 63c | 315.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…a1cfbacked Yes | 3c | 306.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…0ec0backed Yes | 16c | 303.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 67c | 300.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked Yes | 17c | 292.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…d6bebacked Yes | 4c | 282.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 17c | 268.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 8c | 268.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 63c | 262$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 12c | 251.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…e070backed Yes | 48c | 244.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 26c | 237.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…0adebacked Yes | 57c | 208.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 7c | 207.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35f…f7f8backed Yes | 10c | 201.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…d6cfbacked Yes | 26c | 166.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 13c | 155.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4d69backed Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…ff39backed No | 35c | 147.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d71…5f91backed Yes | 7c | 135.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 11c | 134.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…355abacked Yes | 78c | 128.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.