Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b257aa1f3727514552867633929ac61e29e05f53face478f1d2e731c0db9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $679,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b2…f7a2backed No | 0c | 80,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked No | 0c | 77,829$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.35 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…5e82backed No | 0c | 19,333$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 2c | 14,581$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.71 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…9a74backed No | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 2c | 12,012$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…bf89backed No | 1c | 11,248$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 1c | 10,433$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 6c | 9,811$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.32 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 70c | 8,003$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.68 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…fa19backed No | 0c | 7,583$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 7,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed No | 0c | 6,869$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…345ebacked No | 0c | 6,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…151cbacked No | 0c | 5,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 5,644$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed No | 0c | 5,258$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b7…7f9ebacked No | 0c | 5,114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…c9bdbacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 15c | 4,919$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.23 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 13c | 4,915$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.79 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ce0ebacked No | 0c | 4,609$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7446…8368backed No | 15c | 4,427$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 18c | 4,318$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.71 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…bd4dbacked No | 0c | 4,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed No | 18c | 4,230$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 14c | 4,110$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 4,075$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.4 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 22c | 4,020$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.82 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed No | 5c | 3,755$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 27c | 3,577$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…0891backed No | 0c | 3,464$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…5d97backed No | 9c | 2,928$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…6e6dbacked No | 4c | 2,797$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 2,780$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.37 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 2,753$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 4c | 2,719$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed No | 6c | 2,562$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 2,560$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 24c | 2,539$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.76 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 7c | 2,479$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked No | 1c | 2,348$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 34c | 2,323$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.92 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 14c | 2,311$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.71 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 27c | 2,238$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.64 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…3022backed No | 11c | 2,210$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…6594backed Yes | 71c | 2,191$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 2,160$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked No | 7c | 2,154$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 15c | 1,841$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,826$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.41 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 29c | 1,700$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.48 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed No | 9c | 1,693$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…5475backed No | 8c | 1,673$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 3c | 1,671$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 4c | 1,665$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 3c | 1,638$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 11c | 1,602$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 7c | 1,595$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,589$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.63 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…f439backed No | 30c | 1,489$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed No | 7c | 1,422$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 26c | 1,420$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.58 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked No | 7c | 1,400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…9063backed Yes | 80c | 1,327$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked No | 9c | 1,311$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 17c | 1,297$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…4466backed No | 5c | 1,288$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 15c | 1,236$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 26c | 1,117$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.82 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 14c | 1,100$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 10c | 1,087$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 78c | 1,073$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 7c | 1,063$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…fc98backed Yes | 58c | 1,028$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.05 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…355cbacked No | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4c8bbacked Yes | 72c | 925.21$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 4c | 913$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…08fabacked No | 8c | 905.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed No | 15c | 890.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 870.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…b882backed No | 3c | 868.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 849.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 9c | 820$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 28c | 809.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked No | 12c | 802.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…a31ebacked No | 8c | 791.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…b955backed Yes | 62c | 725.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Yes | 69c | 725.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 25c | 716.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked No | 37c | 703.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 61c | 688.86$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 57c | 683.59$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 6c | 663.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632d…0526backed Yes | 80c | 657.96$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 56c | 654.8$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 23c | 636.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…d1b6backed No | 31c | 627.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 18c | 619.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.