TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7028…e0e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT14854.1%80 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.16
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$124.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.71
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$47.66
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$25.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$12.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$67.28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$41.47
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$213.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$17.07
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$98.53
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+206.8%+$126.92
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$69
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$51.69
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+89%+$44
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$68.07
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$27.75
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.97
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.73
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$6.66
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$36.56
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$990.77
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$41.94
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$56.86
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$80.31
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$33.88
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$25.94
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$26.41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$10.11
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.73
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,823.7
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$5.51
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$84.73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$102.47
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.46
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$25.92
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$150.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$30.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$75.73
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.1
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$74.34
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$121.13
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+247%+$155.92
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$25.17
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$22.8
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$31.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$80.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$52.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$6.47
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.4
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$86.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$41.06
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.88
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$411.54
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120.33
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$134
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$542.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+492.5%+$523.63
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.83
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.64
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$64.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+158.4%+$316.77
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$1,507.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$209
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.