Olympics · resolved market
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a60a2fc0baf71bc4e18630d0649c5f63b872285b2fa0b136c8010692e0546a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked No | 40c | 1,232$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 40c | 687.59$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Yes | 56c | 539.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 48c | 492.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 20c | 483.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…5dd9backed Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 69c | 381.35$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 46c | 380.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…8fe5backed Yes | 55c | 331.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 47c | 306.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 298.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.44 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 44c | 264$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 56c | 243.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Yes | 79c | 203.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…beecbacked Yes | 46c | 196.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…54c1backed Yes | 53c | 187.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 180.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Yes | 64c | 171.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 52c | 170.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 54c | 154$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Yes | 60c | 152.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed Yes | 37c | 122.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 55c | 122.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…2922backed Yes | 54c | 116.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…a63abacked Yes | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…64b6backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 49c | 98.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 48c | 93.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Yes | 42c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…a160backed Yes | 53c | 85.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 51c | 82.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1605backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed No | 47c | 71.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Yes | 73c | 68.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…6960backed Yes | 56c | 67.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…9a59backed Yes | 33c | 66.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked Yes | 64c | 57.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…a6d6backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 58c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 43c | 52.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 52c | 41.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 32c | 39.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes | 79c | 38.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 54c | 36.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 60c | 36.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 38c | 34.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…a148backed Yes | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…13d6backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 46c | 29.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 45c | 29.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…49f0backed Yes | 69c | 28.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 51c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 48c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…058ebacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…10fdbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2233backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…ddcebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.