Olympics · resolved market
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5916c88fff873d17e08a3916d081b9b69a47247426d123d5ad461c979487d1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,265$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.87 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked Yes | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked No | 54c | 845.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 70c | 831.35$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 20c | 754.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 41c | 533.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 59c | 400.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…f5e4backed Yes | 45c | 396.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked No | 67c | 393.53$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 71c | 379.65$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 63c | 346.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 27c | 302.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 56c | 271.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 61c | 255.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed Yes | 38c | 228.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 39c | 194$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 52c | 187.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…c837backed Yes | 24c | 187.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +317%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 183.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes | 34c | 177.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…64b6backed Yes | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 147.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 71c | 146.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 27c | 142.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…135dbacked Yes | 66c | 140.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bec…5311backed Yes | 72c | 139.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 41c | 118.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 45c | 103.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…beecbacked No | 62c | 97.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…5dd9backed Yes | 42c | 96.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 52c | 93.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed No | 77c | 92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…8fe5backed Yes | 47c | 84.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Yes | 39c | 83.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 56c | 79.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 58c | 79.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 76c | 75.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…54c1backed Yes | 54c | 73.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…a63abacked Yes | 27c | 66.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 39c | 64.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 64c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 41c | 54.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 63c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 56c | 53.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 53c | 53.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 32c | 49.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 51c | 45.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 40c | 45.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…aa41backed No | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 55c | 39.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 58c | 29.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 62c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…4f46backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.