TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf880…135d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,639Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,412.28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+187.4%+$93.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.5
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$62.34
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,346.51
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,773Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$1,403.84
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+40%+$199.8
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+249.7%+$1,897.91
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,132.47
Berachain airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$118.55
Will Berachain launch a token in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+250.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$143
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$133.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,797.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.