Token Launches · resolved market
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcab596b497bb6d0886ecad3063460887077f77029b3522d8f18684479f7488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 5,800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0470backed No | 79c | 5,527$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 58c | 5,100$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.02 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…445cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,694$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…f455backed No | 71c | 3,534$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked No | 72c | 3,461$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 35c | 3,219$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…8404backed No | 67c | 2,975$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 42c | 2,653$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9150…26f4backed Yes | 0c | 2,527$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Yes | 45c | 2,210$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…f4e2backed No | 76c | 2,150$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…01ebbacked Yes | 17c | 2,117$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Yes | 29c | 2,011$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…1340backed Yes | 25c | 1,966$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked No | 59c | 1,829$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.98 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 1,624$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.47 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…3ba4backed Yes | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…76babacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 62c | 1,351$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed No | 75c | 1,335$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 3c | 1,296$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…e14ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,166$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c9…e1c3backed No | 70c | 1,154$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…c325backed Yes | 41c | 1,093$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,039$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 41c | 968.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked No | 76c | 943.82$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Yes | 3c | 929.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 17c | 895.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 847.53$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed Yes | 22c | 809.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 22c | 809.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 3c | 799.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…a9fdbacked Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed No | 61c | 758.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…e1f0backed Yes | 9c | 637.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 597$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…a5debacked Yes | 29c | 594.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 29c | 588.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 9c | 583.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 16c | 557.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…4618backed No | 60c | 522.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed No | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…ef0bbacked Yes | 13c | 473$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 61c | 452.32$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 59c | 445.26$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…aa52backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Yes | 35c | 431.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked No | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Yes | 24c | 413.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…fa1fbacked Yes | 25c | 405.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…6d39backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…2486backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…fb49backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…768fbacked No | 60c | 400$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…11c4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…4071backed Yes | 24c | 394.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 18c | 376.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 55c | 361$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked Yes | 34c | 356.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…af7bbacked Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…66b1backed Yes | 27c | 347.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed Yes | 6c | 339.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…437bbacked No | 62c | 327.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 31c | 324.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…1195backed Yes | 4c | 312$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e844backed Yes | 31c | 311.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed No | 76c | 311.16$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked Yes | 10c | 311$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 308.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305a…fcd5backed Yes | 10c | 298.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…2878backed Yes | 39c | 295.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…50debacked Yes | 25c | 292$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 22c | 286$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…f9ccbacked Yes | 42c | 237.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…0e48backed Yes | 49c | 237.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 69c | 227.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed No | 69c | 216.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x349a…d5e6backed Yes | 37c | 215.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…5990backed Yes | 19c | 210.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…6588backed Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…c608backed Yes | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 205.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…8855backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 26c | 198.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 195.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked No | 65c | 189.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes | 38c | 182.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.