TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd32…c9c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT7842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,992.5
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.15
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.15
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.77
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Giants vs. Metsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$57.82
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.68
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$603.92
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.68
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$461.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$495.95
Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Bitcoin dip to $106K September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.44
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$456.8
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.16
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$794.51
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+54.3%+$580.5
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+51.5%+$340
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$224.35
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$355
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$69
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$93.5
Will Berachain launch a token in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$710.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+357.5%+$78.13
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,004Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,656.2
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,599
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Charlotte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+337%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,240
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,386.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.