TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Giants57c172,431$98,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,207.5712043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates43c158,048$67,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,960.461,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants57c21,326$12,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,170.3360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates44c15,273$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,72038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates44c11,500$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Pirates43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Giants56c9,352$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.9138949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Giants55c6,876$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.2353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Pirates19c6,257$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.7654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates43c4,064$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.711,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76039041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates31c3,377$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants56c3,077$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.992,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pirates3c3,052$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.971,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Giants53c2,717$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.6724154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Giants56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pirates43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates44c1,809$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pirates43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6889843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants57c1,314$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.855,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Giants56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants55c1,212$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.0966645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pirates45c1,145$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.4570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pirates45c1,087$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.331,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pirates4c1,080$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Giants57c1,050$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.911,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates6c1,045$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.91,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Pirates44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Giants57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Giants58c999.97$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.995750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Pirates44c923$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.125947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pirates48c904.99$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.441643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates44c886.56$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Pirates45c875$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.035250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…01b4backed Pirates45c833.33$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2434…9b23backed Pirates45c714.47$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f1…4596backed Giants56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants57c703.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0725551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30816349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Pirates42c694.18$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.565050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Pirates18c600$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Pirates42c571$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Giants58c534$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed Giants58c516$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants57c499.88$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e78…a38cbacked Pirates42c479$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.18850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pirates43c465$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9526056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19218243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates45c396$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Pirates45c382.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3419934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8839160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants58c341.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.631,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pirates44c337.45$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Pirates36c333.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Giants60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Pirates45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12525551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants55c257.8$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.166,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Giants79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.166960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Pirates42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants56c232$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.081,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates44c231.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.991,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Giants57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.91,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Pirates42c210.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Giants59c209.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8340152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa09e…0883backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fd…1753backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…70c6backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d6…e499backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845149%25 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7f…8250backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…752cbacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd69…8706backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6248…32d7backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845050%25 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3157…d2f9backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd3…be9dbacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3896…5e61backed Giants58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb913…f8f3backed Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1449…780fbacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…e2dbbacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3a…b30ebacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791f…8d7dbacked Pirates42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.