MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d881b4a92c114fe78a9f23b265ff9a90a7ffb2991f03098b9f087819f2162f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $862,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Guardians | 36c | 599,061$215,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383,348.88 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 64c | 450,341$288,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288,126.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 64c | 68,109$43,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,589.75 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 64c | 47,000$30,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,079.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Mets | 64c | 37,356$23,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,908.01 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 36c | 35,555$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,755.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mets | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…e205backed Mets | 64c | 17,400$11,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,136.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mets | 58c | 15,300$8,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,875.12 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Mets | 46c | 8,520$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.36 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 54c | 6,365$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 64c | 5,846$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians | 35c | 5,408$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.52 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mets | 57c | 5,295$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 34c | 5,087$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.84 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Guardians | 37c | 5,018$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.34 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 51c | 4,354$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 20c | 3,921$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.34 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 63c | 3,708$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.44 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Mets | 63c | 3,488$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.39 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 64c | 3,280$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Mets | 75c | 3,224$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 59c | 3,137$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.51 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 36c | 2,363$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.18 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 36c | 2,310$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 33c | 2,101$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.49 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Guardians | 38c | 1,803$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Guardians | 58c | 1,762$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.24 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…531ebacked Mets | 61c | 1,416$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 43c | 1,406$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 36c | 1,317$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.91 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 47c | 1,287$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.29 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Guardians | 36c | 1,200$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…b33bbacked Guardians | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…79b3backed Guardians | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Guardians | 77c | 1,113$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.97 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Guardians | 37c | 1,048$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…2086backed Mets | 61c | 984$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 7c | 928.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 39c | 926.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.92 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Mets | 62c | 916$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Mets | 62c | 887$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Mets | 71c | 774.77$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Mets | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 4c | 761$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…42e0backed Guardians | 44c | 750.72$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 36c | 711$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.04 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Mets | 42c | 700$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 79c | 600.47$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Guardians | 61c | 598.35$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.14 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Guardians | 55c | 570.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Guardians | 36c | 565.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Guardians | 72c | 552.55$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Mets | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 73c | 524.06$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mets | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 62c | 477.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.23 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Mets | 42c | 461.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 53c | 457.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…faa6backed Guardians | 37c | 434.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 38c | 399.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 38c | 394.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Mets | 79c | 391.57$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 38c | 342$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 61c | 334.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 37c | 332$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Guardians | 37c | 329$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Guardians | 46c | 321.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 60c | 320.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Mets | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Guardians | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Guardians | 36c | 293$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 37c | 291$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guardians | 49c | 290$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Guardians | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Guardians | 39c | 267.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guardians | 62c | 257$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Guardians | 38c | 251.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 36c | 247.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 61c | 244.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Mets | 23c | 235.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…a94fbacked Mets | 65c | 235$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 6c | 232.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 57c | 227.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 63c | 226.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 62c | 218.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Guardians | 62c | 211.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Guardians | 39c | 206.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.