TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e79…42e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.21
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.69
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.77
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.33
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+126.5%+$419.28
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.11
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.59
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.04
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$9.53
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.55
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.54
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$3.32
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$228.57
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+119.4%+$1,128.66
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$15.46
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$246.96
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – De Minaur vs. Sheltonbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.96
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+45%+$83.98
ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. Fritzbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.46
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$131.57
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+118.6%+$248.31
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$85.09
ATP Toronto – Popyrin vs. Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.21
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.28
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Tienbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$116.76
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$61.68
ATP Toronto – Medvedev vs. Popyrinbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.75
ATP Toronto – Muller vs. Rune backed Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.57
ATP Toronto – Tien vs. Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.73
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.15
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Carreno Bustabacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$16.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.