MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8506633bc8bd080f8766cfb47ac598990bc686e900ca22f87c08f0ac7e332c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Twins, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Twins | 43c | 460,444$197,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,610.88 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Guardians | 57c | 155,555$88,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,888.65 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 57c | 85,600$48,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,808 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 57c | 75,232$42,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,275.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 58c | 23,980$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 57c | 22,858$13,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.03 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 57c | 18,560$10,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Twins | 44c | 18,373$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Guardians | 76c | 9,310$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.61 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 57c | 9,200$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Twins | 41c | 5,111$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 43c | 5,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 58c | 4,914$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 55c | 4,544$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Guardians | 59c | 3,966$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.06 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Twins | 65c | 3,831$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.09 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 57c | 3,500$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 53c | 3,464$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.9 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 40c | 3,085$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Guardians | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Guardians | 59c | 2,890$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Twins | 44c | 2,778$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.22 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 57c | 2,600$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Guardians | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,990$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.01 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 69c | 1,812$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 61c | 1,605$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.97 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 41c | 1,525$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Guardians | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 42c | 1,330$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.16 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Twins | 3c | 1,261$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Guardians | 56c | 1,244$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.68 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 48c | 1,235$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.5 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Twins | 39c | 1,174$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 41c | 939.37$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.34 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 61c | 931.3$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 58c | 862.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Twins | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 58c | 684$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Twins | 39c | 655.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Twins | 49c | 653.8$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.85 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 58c | 603.07$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins | 46c | 545.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 20c | 509.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 41c | 499.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 495$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 37c | 490.91$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Guardians | 62c | 485.15$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…1e74backed Twins | 41c | 479.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Twins | 21c | 474.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 59c | 342.76$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 58c | 328.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 41c | 310$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Twins | 7c | 307.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Twins | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Twins | 9c | 298.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Twins | 55c | 291.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Guardians | 57c | 289.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Guardians | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Twins | 43c | 266.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Guardians | 75c | 252$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Twins | 40c | 237.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 62c | 228.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Twins | 9c | 220.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Guardians | 58c | 209.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Guardians | 62c | 207.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 60c | 193.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 64c | 184.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Guardians | 62c | 182.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Guardians | 62c | 177.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 70c | 172.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Guardians | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Guardians | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Guardians | 62c | 163.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Guardians | 61c | 156.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians | 56c | 155.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Guardians | 58c | 150.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Twins | 71c | 141.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Guardians | 54c | 138.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Guardians | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guardians | 64c | 126.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Guardians | 65c | 125.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Twins | 40c | 125.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.