TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c0a…643a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.91
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$121.9
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.84
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.69
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+97%+$85.17
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$112
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$66.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$59.83
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$113.1
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+276.5%+$112.86
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.37
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$61.25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$227.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+227.1%+$90.96
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.5
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.1
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+305.5%+$254.05
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$202.5
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$319.99
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$340.32
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$259.99
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$134
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$143
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+306.5%+$188.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.22
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.64
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$149.74
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$267.99
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+59%+$124.47
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT240%0 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.74
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.69
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.19
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.73
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.06
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$178
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.4
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+79.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.92
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+419.8%+$292.24
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$184.51
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.91
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.9
Rodri: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.83
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.05
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$244.63
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$112.48
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$73.8
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$91.05
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$145.17
Felix Nmecha: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$128.4
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$48.3
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$44.88
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$46.41
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$61.33
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$74.1
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$56.24
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.9
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$52.8
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$64.6
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$35.77
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.25
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24.96
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$429.25
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+214%+$102.23
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.7
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$211.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.95
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.