Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3cb6f5c6e146441591fe1ce505237f12cdd02b99f57c47e7fa7ad655a5f4ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof Rune Eaters, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 71,110$30,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,937.89 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 35,940$22,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,553.45 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 35,322$19,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,541.5 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 25,000$14,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,274.99 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 21,593$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.3 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 20,128$8,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,452.79 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 17,863$10,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,246.83 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 16,017$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,727.02 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 13,227$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.54 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 10,107$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 7,420$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 7,114$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.71 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 7,048$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.27 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 6,018$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.64 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 5,139$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.13 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 4,151$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 3,949$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.91 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 3,420$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.74 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 3,390$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.56 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 3,273$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.66 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 3,070$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.62 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 2,845$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,729$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.45 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 2,676$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.33 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 2,276$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.25 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 2,253$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.78 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 2,141$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.98 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 1,888$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.56 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,737$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 1,700$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,665$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.84 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,660$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.1 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,638$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 1,600$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,592$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,537$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.28 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,536$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.85 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,426$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.3 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,363$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.6 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,303$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,300$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.92 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,271$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,225$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 1,185$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.75 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 1,055$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.1 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,041$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.8 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 1,040$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,002$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.77 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,000$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.63 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 999.09$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 993.98$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 980.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 888.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 794.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 756.85$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 735.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 701.01$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 700.6$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 676.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 669.18$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 651.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 590.87$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…0f9fbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 563.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 559.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.51 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 498.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 490.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 478.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 465.18$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 446.05$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 444$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 427.6$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 413.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 376.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 338.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 336.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 282.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 246.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 229.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…1cbcbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 209.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 197.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 192.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 187.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 177.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 170.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 168.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 155.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 154$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.