Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb131126b246e47f007dd3ac41a81c04aa7848ac9dfb7fc23988980a53c475487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 5c | 56,041$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.63 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 28,023$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.82 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 0c | 16,494$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 2c | 11,121$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…a0aebacked Yes | 2c | 9,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 10c | 5,074$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,261$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,888$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,795$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…ef1abacked Yes | 2c | 2,394$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…8665backed Yes | 0c | 2,372$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…ac59backed Yes | 1c | 2,007$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,939$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,842$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 3c | 1,756$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 1,730$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a6…faf4backed Yes | 3c | 1,651$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 8c | 1,328$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…f25fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,283$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 4c | 1,235$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 4c | 1,196$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…bf3ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,189$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…df76backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 9c | 999.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…cc01backed Yes | 6c | 960.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 11c | 958.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1a…cd8fbacked Yes | 3c | 899.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…ee72backed Yes | 1c | 895.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 870.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 808$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…ee54backed Yes | 6c | 779.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 729$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…d5d3backed Yes | 2c | 694.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…5c8bbacked Yes | 4c | 691.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 678.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…4e45backed Yes | 6c | 628.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 593.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b265backed Yes | 5c | 513.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 4c | 407.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 4c | 384.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…e63ebacked Yes | 8c | 347.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4995…eca1backed Yes | 3c | 342.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…3d94backed Yes | 3c | 312.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…eb53backed Yes | 4c | 280$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 20c | 251.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…773dbacked Yes | 5c | 210.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…759ebacked Yes | 20c | 201.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 6c | 193.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…2dedbacked No | 80c | 188$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…e943backed Yes | 7c | 182.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 11c | 171.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a7c5backed Yes | 17c | 143.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…99cfbacked Yes | 10c | 142.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 20c | 136.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…a311backed Yes | 38c | 87.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…a651backed Yes | 17c | 85.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…4081backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…21ddbacked Yes | 15c | 75.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…74d1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 35c | 56.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 47c | 51.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…fc6dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…3175backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?this page
- Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?No won
- Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in February?Yes won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.