TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeee9…f66f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
369
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT13542.2%57 W · 78 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.01
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-68%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.91
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+830.7%+$6,284.87
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.87
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.84
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.85
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,024.2%+$1,368.82
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.67
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+464.2%+$465
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.65
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.45
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.59
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.52
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.34
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.61
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.61
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.3
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+136.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+3,040.5%+$1,091.53
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+308.7%+$35.22
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+57.4%+$17.12
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+206.5%+$150.28
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+673.8%+$88.94
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$90.05
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+82.8%+$10.93
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$51.46
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 15-21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.66
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.76
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$61.24
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.88
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.25
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.33
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.27
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,186.4%+$1,608.36
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.35
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.65
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will I Can Only Imagine 2 be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.1%+$7.43
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.15
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.61
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+756.1%+$99.29
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.14
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+151.7%+$42.52
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46.54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.65
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$620.05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+145.3%+$241.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$103.86
All 19 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wildwood: Follow The Crows be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.09
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$103.62
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$420.96
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105.18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$177.22
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+67.8%+$9.88
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.5%+$120.91
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63.04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.45
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+404.4%+$46.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST180%0 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$424.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$414.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$237.16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.28
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$321.19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.07
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+955.6%+$126.13
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.97
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.22
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.33
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.47
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.84
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.36
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$7.95
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$18.42
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.17
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.88
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.3
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+963.5%+$140.38
Prince Andrew released by February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33%+$8.87
Prince Andrew released by February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$46.03
Prince Andrew released by February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+309.9%+$377.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$101.03
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.72
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.19
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+697.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+216.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$12.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.38
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$16.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.