TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,695,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,287,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,695,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c65…6c47backed Yes14c35,364$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…d830backed Yes11c34,602$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcbd…6330backed Yes12c31,200$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b2c…872cbacked Yes10c28,909$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7c…d652backed Yes11c28,192$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64bf…8b5fbacked Yes11c28,049$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b4…9899backed Yes9c27,864$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef6…0c11backed Yes12c27,600$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a71…ae31backed Yes10c26,125$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a0…b77fbacked Yes12c25,367$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa85…2100backed Yes10c25,088$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d79…1349backed Yes12c24,010$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef6…fd24backed Yes13c23,905$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0250…dffbbacked Yes10c23,210$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc05f…ea07backed Yes9c22,355$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2130…bf69backed Yes6c22,004$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d9…6e1abacked Yes14c21,543$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b58…5734backed Yes14c21,167$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…3ed3backed Yes8c20,059$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…fd34backed Yes9c20,045$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3955…7197backed Yes16c18,829$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed1…11e8backed Yes13c18,727$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c96…a934backed Yes16c18,644$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a3…90a2backed Yes10c18,379$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccc…3497backed Yes12c18,305$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2604…6d6cbacked Yes16c18,216$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49bf…c3c4backed Yes9c18,125$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…ac67backed Yes13c18,110$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2516…595fbacked Yes12c18,055$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58de…040abacked Yes16c17,876$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a09…6529backed Yes12c17,875$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd614…690cbacked Yes12c17,826$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9404…e7c5backed Yes9c17,807$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2585…5baabacked Yes11c17,788$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c2…3594backed Yes13c17,739$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca17…9cfabacked Yes11c17,708$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee30…3690backed Yes12c17,672$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f8…221abacked Yes7c17,554$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…4941backed Yes13c17,516$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6151…bd00backed Yes9c17,512$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d6…628bbacked Yes12c17,488$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c22…4dc1backed Yes9c17,478$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb138…c683backed Yes13c17,422$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3bf…8ae5backed Yes6c17,371$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927e…39aebacked Yes4c17,363$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8af…5c3abacked Yes16c17,176$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6390…8826backed Yes9c17,127$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fa…d29fbacked Yes11c17,045$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2e…b071backed Yes16c17,033$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b7…e46bbacked Yes4c16,952$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1f…becfbacked Yes10c16,948$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…409dbacked Yes7c16,925$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c1…d5a2backed Yes11c16,901$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…08fbbacked Yes6c16,736$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c0…e1bcbacked Yes9c16,680$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca6…8c4fbacked Yes12c16,630$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c16,548$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…940cbacked Yes3c16,519$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387f…9087backed Yes15c16,508$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855f…3c16backed Yes17c16,457$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5206…4417backed Yes12c16,415$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa90d…1ac7backed Yes4c16,360$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1adf…f855backed Yes4c16,263$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e27…c200backed Yes10c15,487$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86af…69d2backed Yes13c15,051$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe624…8780backed Yes11c14,861$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…46f3backed Yes12c14,796$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30f1…0af3backed Yes12c14,673$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f31…d5d5backed Yes7c14,464$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1521…6b9bbacked Yes11c14,407$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0708…2937backed Yes14c14,386$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7b…c673backed Yes8c14,255$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9c…9483backed Yes8c14,151$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes0c13,998$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9812…95d9backed Yes12c13,782$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8ab…46c9backed Yes9c13,571$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec6…e951backed Yes9c13,485$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e5…fad6backed Yes14c13,459$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194c…b3abbacked Yes13c13,422$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x704e…efd5backed Yes15c13,358$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…b7dfbacked Yes15c13,041$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…83bdbacked Yes11c12,865$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3107…778abacked Yes13c12,838$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb71d…f68bbacked Yes12c12,824$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4232…38ddbacked Yes12c12,803$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf268…d0e3backed Yes15c12,757$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5132…0d83backed Yes15c12,676$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5d…6051backed Yes12c12,667$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9d3…cac1backed Yes14c12,485$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dff…a9f9backed Yes16c12,387$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf70…aba3backed Yes12c12,314$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe97d…4c58backed Yes14c12,298$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes12c11,930$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.027741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d1…a3dbbacked Yes15c11,855$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cc…c2edbacked Yes16c11,413$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…17a4backed Yes10c11,055$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes7c10,990$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.44650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622a…a2eebacked Yes11c10,960$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e2…635bbacked Yes9c10,767$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e9…d52fbacked Yes13c10,744$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.