TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$614,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce7a…75d7backed Yes3c19,987$688 inLost-$688.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd032…7939backed Yes0c18,000$46 inLost-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c11,000$44 inLost-$4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c37…d660backed Yes2c10,336$217 inLost-$217.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,022$29 inLost-$29.27229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes1c4,525$55 inLost-$5560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c4,217$24 inLost-$23.7740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes2c3,327$62 inLost-$61.942524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes1c3,231$18 inLost-$17.952630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ff…9219backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c2,694$28 inLost-$28.041838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes1c2,580$18 inLost-$17.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f0…3196backed Yes1c2,185$13 inLost-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c2,034$19 inLost-$19.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd768…f352backed Yes1c1,982$12 inLost-$11.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…5493backed Yes1c1,882$11 inLost-$11.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d7…9907backed Yes1c1,860$11 inLost-$11.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes4c1,657$65 inLost-$65.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e3…0c9fbacked Yes1c1,634$11 inLost-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a0a…5fe3backed Yes1c1,621$11 inLost-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ea…beecbacked Yes1c1,619$11 inLost-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes1c1,511$10 inLost-$102846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes2c1,395$23 inLost-$23.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x132f…e7bbbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes1c977.22$11 inLost-$10.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes1c943.99$12 inLost-$11.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…5c87backed Yes3c616.2$16 inLost-$15.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3419…58f3backed Yes6c554.56$31 inLost-$31.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes3c545$17 inLost-$17.1825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes5c506.84$24 inLost-$23.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes4c454.56$18 inLost-$17.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3a…3516backed Yes4c449.86$17 inLost-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes3c380$12 inLost-$11.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90dd…14e3backed Yes5c369.56$18 inLost-$17.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc2…7479backed Yes7c367.22$26 inLost-$25.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf9…94d7backed Yes4c302.28$13 inLost-$12.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfe…c677backed Yes4c252.28$11 inLost-$10.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf191…06e5backed Yes7c252.28$17 inLost-$16.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.