Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e722ca9fef1bcde22157eb0be3bfa5e6f5a791c986928a3a38d860e40a31bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 10c | 8,523$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 12c | 3,089$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 11c | 2,454$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 12c | 2,087$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…e152backed No | 2c | 1,909$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 10c | 1,446$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,443$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 13c | 1,296$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 14c | 1,028$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 2c | 1,007$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…7b24backed No | 2c | 885$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 817.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 786.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…c1bdbacked No | 7c | 729.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…1113backed No | 17c | 656.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 631.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked No | 12c | 612.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 15c | 549.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 11c | 519.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked No | 7c | 405.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 401.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd9…0216backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed No | 16c | 303.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…919bbacked No | 14c | 240.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 13c | 223.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed No | 5c | 215$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 214.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 6c | 201.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 11c | 194.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 11c | 188.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 13c | 175.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…5295backed No | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…2e79backed No | 11c | 149.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed No | 9c | 142.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked No | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…79bbbacked No | 13c | 128.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 12c | 127.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…d5a4backed No | 17c | 120.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…deeabacked No | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…0daebacked No | 12c | 87.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…9edabacked No | 13c | 83.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 15c | 82.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 13c | 81.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…7ca5backed No | 15c | 78.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…12debacked No | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…d354backed No | 18c | 74.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked No | 16c | 71.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…d722backed No | 18c | 69.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed Yes | 76c | 40.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…3a62backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…7754backed Yes | 80c | 33.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?this page
- Will Angers win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Auxerre win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Le Havre win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Lorient win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Metz win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Nantes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Nice win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Paris FC win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
- Will Toulouse win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.