TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03c1…ab1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$74.58
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.82
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$104.01
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.29
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.31
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.85
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.27
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.28
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$63.63
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.05
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.85
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.8
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48.39
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$51.49
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.83
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.15
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+135.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,122.2%+$429.21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$100.6
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.71
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66.22
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.59
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$788.27
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$28.21
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.53
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.34
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$328.15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.9
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$106.54
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.05
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+95.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+70.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$69.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.