South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe797d375d3025ce71a95dd36e7ed4eba70346d13bf47c5366d1a9a3789df7695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 66c | 16,566$10,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 11,623$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 2,314$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 35c | 1,605$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.79 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 35c | 1,500$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 16c | 999.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 886.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 874.74$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 860.67$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.99 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 853.76$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…1e26backed Yes | 57c | 755.41$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 35c | 655$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 33c | 434.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 273.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 58c | 233.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 37c | 138.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 43c | 137.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 40c | 134.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 58c | 131.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 16c | 130.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 64c | 119.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 36c | 91.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…41eabacked Yes | 60c | 81.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked No | 35c | 72.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 70.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 39c | 69.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…9988backed No | 38c | 50.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 64c | 41.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Yes | 61c | 38.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 38c | 34.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 58c | 33.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed No | 42c | 32.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Yes | 63c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 40c | 29.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked Yes | 64c | 23.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 65c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…37e6backed Yes | 61c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.