TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under42c180,259$74,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,916.8222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over58c165,515$96,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,766.436352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over58c8,592$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.9340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Under42c5,690$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over58c4,378$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Under41c3,895$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.9519050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c3,182$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.462,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,977$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.381,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under41c2,197$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over59c1,896$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.5476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over58c1,836$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.252,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.397755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under42c1,641$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.81,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under42c1,630$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.489038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c1,353$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.552,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under47c1,255$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2635829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over76c1,167$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.997345.2%33 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c1,133$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over59c910.02$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffa…6db7backed Under42c880$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over59c760$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c722.03$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0347256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c614.41$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.911,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under33c613.16$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7414151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Under42c423.52$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under33c418.48$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under42c396$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3217042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over62c378.87$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.751,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c303$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0610851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over58c300.06$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0338849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under59c280$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3311551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under41c249$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Under41c240.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over47c239$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over64c238$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.142,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…81b9backed Over60c218.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d8…ac72backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c163.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0259852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under44c160.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4710033%33 W · 67 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under22c159$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4129533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under39c142.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1820855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c139.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.233,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over58c139$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under41c138.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8410346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over58c133$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.228055%44 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over42c121$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.741,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under40c116.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.85952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under40c113.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0745651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over68c103.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4812152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c98.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.462,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Under41c86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.262740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c1…ab1ebacked Over59c85.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Over59c83.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c79.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7986049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2e…a457backed Over59c78.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under51c77.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c77.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7692049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under43c69.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.015650%28 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c69.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5713841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…4edcbacked Over60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.239751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under43c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1427659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7192…7000backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…07d1backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d9…34b4backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…18f1backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over47c48.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5917456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe157…dbffbacked Under42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over59c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0419254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under40c40.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2217761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under42c38.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…8b73backed Under34c34.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…bdaabacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a6a…0b01backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over41c33.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9160449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over59c33.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.577153.5%38 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34951%25 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under70c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under44c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under44c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.885735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Over60c26.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8d…5acebacked Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under43c24.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed Over59c24.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over59c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4717147.4%81 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52c9…a930backed Over59c20.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775f…c82dbacked Over59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1744…30debacked Over60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over80c16.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2412763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.