NHL · resolved market

Spread: Ducks (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46698d28b8f6cad300e81318729b95999fb463e39259e27314618c1034cb969

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Canucksof Ducks, Canucks
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $94,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Ducks	54c	74,192$40,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,060.94	485	45.4%220 W · 265 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canucks	46c	42,503$19,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,951.46	403	51.9%209 W · 194 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Canucks	46c	32,162$14,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,363.37	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Ducks	53c	3,233$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.78	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks	47c	2,484$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326.69	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canucks	46c	1,522$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.81	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Canucks	47c	1,465$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.58	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Canucks	46c	1,141$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.14	318	48.7%155 W · 163 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ducks	65c	1,126$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.15	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks	34c	1,107$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.39	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d16…c595backed Ducks	54c	937.72$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.37	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Canucks	47c	759.97$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.08	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Ducks	58c	630.93$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.8	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Canucks	47c	622.77$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.07	665	52%346 W · 319 L	+8.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Ducks	54c	590.25$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.73	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Ducks	53c	494.29$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.2	150	54%81 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Canucks	48c	478.6$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.87	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canucks	73c	478.03$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.38	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ducks	54c	439.94$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.11	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canucks	46c	436.99$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.07	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Ducks	32c	389.09$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.74	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Canucks	69c	385.2$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.1	63	71.4%45 W · 18 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Ducks	53c	366.72$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.36	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks	25c	364.09$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.42	618	48.1%297 W · 321 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks	60c	313.66$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.84	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.01	823	53.1%437 W · 386 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Canucks	39c	239.11$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.64	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Canucks	46c	223.81$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.48	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Ducks	21c	223.05$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.64	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Canucks	46c	201.49$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.8	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Canucks	46c	190.25$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.73	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Ducks	27c	177.07$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Canucks	42c	175.79$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.87	323	53.9%174 W · 149 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2572…13e1backed Canucks	77c	168.09$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.68	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Canucks	47c	165.76$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.46	311	48.2%150 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ducks	35c	157.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.75	1,384	47.1%652 W · 732 L	+25.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Canucks	47c	152.01$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.56	339	50.1%170 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Canucks	47c	141.36$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.92	98	49%48 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Canucks	47c	141.36$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.92	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Canucks	47c	127.72$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.69	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ducks	21c	127.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	470	24%113 W · 357 L	-44.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Ducks	17c	121.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Canucks	60c	120$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.43	604	49.2%297 W · 307 L	-17.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Canucks	69c	118.12$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.33	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Canucks	48c	114.32$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.45	347	52.4%182 W · 165 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Canucks	47c	101.66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.88	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Ducks	53c	99.93$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.96	243	50.2%122 W · 121 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Ducks	53c	97.18$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Canucks	47c	91.98$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.75	173	43.4%75 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Canucks	48c	82.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Canucks	47c	76.22$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.39	191	41.9%80 W · 111 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Canucks	48c	68.87$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.84	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	+6.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Canucks	33c	63.17$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.33	358	29.3%105 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Canucks	48c	62.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.74	294	48.6%143 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Canucks	46c	61.29$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.1	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Ducks	54c	60.68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Ducks	31c	59.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canucks	52c	59.47$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.28	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Canucks	48c	56.29$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd827…fe79backed Ducks	54c	54.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Canucks	47c	53.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.54	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Canucks	48c	52.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	85	48.2%41 W · 44 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff9…bf35backed Ducks	58c	51.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Ducks	52c	50.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Ducks	54c	48.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Canucks	47c	48.41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.66	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Canucks	47c	39.7$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ducks	49c	38.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks	74c	37$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.62	1,028	53.2%547 W · 481 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda2b…5320backed Ducks	53c	36.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Ducks	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	212	53.3%113 W · 99 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…2b74backed Canucks	47c	35.02$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Ducks	44c	31.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Canucks	47c	29.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.39	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f3…ae84backed Ducks	54c	28.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.49	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Canucks	47c	28.08$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Canucks	47c	28.08$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Ducks	54c	27.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Ducks	53c	24.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	477	53.9%257 W · 220 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Canucks	46c	24.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	456	51.5%235 W · 221 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbe…1b08backed Ducks	54c	23.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76c4…e723backed Ducks	54c	20.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Canucks	69c	20.6$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.39	261	54%141 W · 120 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8559…c9f7backed Ducks	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Ducks	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Ducks	54c	19.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61ff…a37fbacked Ducks	54c	18.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Ducks (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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