NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70975858dedc7d65a6623d1a22cb06a62999ee07193b38363b1e24b428e3595d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 64c | 1,137$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.32 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 7c | 1,037$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 53c | 592.68$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.06 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 52c | 425.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 61c | 413$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 360$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 66c | 303.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 34c | 273.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 251.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 225.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 38c | 156.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 118.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 39c | 77.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 62.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 55.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 40c | 53.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…49afbacked Under | 49c | 40.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed98…a5a0backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5this page
- Canucks vs. DucksCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Canucks won
- Spread: Ducks (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.