TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ddc…07d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: HGE Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked HGE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$8.29
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffsbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffsbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Valorant: Contra vs Tezcat Gaming (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Playoffsbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$19.08
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$12.52
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.14
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.95
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$14.43
Valorant: LAZER vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group Bbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$14.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.18
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.58
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.76
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$13.29
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.58
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.14
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.12
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92%+$23.73
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.41
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.65
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$16.44
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.