TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under54c244,562$131,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,317.4250553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c136,455$63,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,850.631,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over46c84,369$38,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,559.196943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Under54c48,620$26,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,254.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over46c33,382$15,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,026.392556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c21,842$10,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,213.731,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c18,595$8,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,021.567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over47c12,360$5,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,550.87050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c9,406$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.2647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c9,134$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.6655253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c8,207$4,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.0310,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c6,701$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.721,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Under47c4,490$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under51c3,398$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.027350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over47c3,090$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.77346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over46c2,799$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.613254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Under54c2,771$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.234656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over53c2,484$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.3610647.2%50 W · 56 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under45c2,244$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.2312654%68 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c1,991$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.051,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over58c1,912$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.241275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c1,842$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.022,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c1,713$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6459549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over46c1,335$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.317650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,060$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.136,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.926245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c992.28$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.831,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Over46c967.6$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.511250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over58c944.09$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.81,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.25160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under49c798.81$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6522753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed Over47c688.04$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.663452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over69c663.43$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.386,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c659.03$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3478146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over59c651.36$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.345,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.549045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over47c617.71$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3946749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Under26c584.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c552.9$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.571,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c451.81$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.981,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe2…2c56backed Under54c449.24$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over50c397.89$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0426545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c386.81$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.971,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c369.7$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.921,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under55c353.59$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.475448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under19c337.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.921,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c328.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9641051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7192…7000backed Under54c322.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.065756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over47c319.14$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5739948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c277.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2819848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf331…ca0bbacked Under54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c5…4602backed Under34c269.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.81875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under48c242.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2666551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Over48c242.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.943959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5c…81b9backed Under54c220.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over47c210$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11227045.9%124 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under54c206$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.518940.4%36 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Under47c202.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.27850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over75c184.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.871,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Over46c165.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over47c157.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6436650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over57c153.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1422948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed Under54c149.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under26c146.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.941,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Over47c142.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.435554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd787…9eddbacked Over48c141.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.471650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under54c131.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9933547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over49c130.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6224751.8%128 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c123.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6228352.3%148 W · 135 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c119.79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.322,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over64c118.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6228350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over46c114.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6615257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.165541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac02…b942backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over78c98.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.513053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over50c95.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5326255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c88.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7425249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over53c88.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3714945.6%68 W · 81 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Over47c79.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0810250%51 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…1bafbacked Over54c78.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…4cb3backed Over46c72.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.971566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over53c71.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81,30650.7%662 W · 644 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2f…1b25backed Over49c68.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.654136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under54c65.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.64944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Over53c64.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3913552.6%71 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Over46c63.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.498652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7613348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over48c58.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2329352.9%155 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under51c57.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.316152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1516544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f9…111ebacked Over50c54.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.161030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…07d1backed Under54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.171764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d9…34b4backed Under54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over52c52.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3677052.1%401 W · 369 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…fbbebacked Under55c49.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2551…217cbacked Under53c47.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.995054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over53c46.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9245251.3%232 W · 220 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…18f1backed Under55c46.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.