MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d8b5d9b72f204ba2aa62c13c95311b53ca54f95931b5e06ab26455cbbe7ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 54c | 244,562$131,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,317.42 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 136,455$63,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,850.63 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 46c | 84,369$38,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,559.19 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Under | 54c | 48,620$26,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,254.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Over | 46c | 33,382$15,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,026.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 21,842$10,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,213.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 18,595$8,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,021.5 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 47c | 12,360$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 9,406$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.26 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 9,134$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.66 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 8,207$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.03 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 6,701$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.72 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Under | 47c | 4,490$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Under | 51c | 3,398$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.02 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 47c | 3,090$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 46c | 2,799$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Under | 54c | 2,771$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.23 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 53c | 2,484$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.36 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 45c | 2,244$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.23 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 1,991$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.05 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 58c | 1,912$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 1,842$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 1,713$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.64 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 46c | 1,335$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.31 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.13 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 992.28$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Over | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 944.09$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 49c | 798.81$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Over | 47c | 688.04$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 663.43$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 659.03$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.34 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 59c | 651.36$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 47c | 617.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.39 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Under | 26c | 584.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 552.9$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 451.81$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…2c56backed Under | 54c | 449.24$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 50c | 397.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 386.81$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 369.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under | 55c | 353.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 337.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 328.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 54c | 322.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 47c | 319.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.57 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 48c | 277.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…ca0bbacked Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…4602backed Under | 34c | 269.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Over | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…81b9backed Under | 54c | 220.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 47c | 210$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 54c | 206$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Under | 47c | 202.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 75c | 184.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Over | 46c | 165.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 47c | 157.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 57c | 153.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Under | 54c | 149.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 26c | 146.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Over | 47c | 142.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…9eddbacked Over | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 54c | 131.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 49c | 130.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 123.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 119.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 64c | 118.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 46c | 114.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…b942backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 50c | 95.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 88.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 53c | 88.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Over | 47c | 79.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…1bafbacked Over | 54c | 78.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…4cb3backed Over | 46c | 72.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 53c | 71.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Over | 49c | 68.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 54c | 65.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 53c | 64.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Over | 46c | 63.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 51c | 57.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Over | 50c | 54.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 52c | 52.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 770 | 52.1%401 W · 369 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…fbbebacked Under | 55c | 49.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Under | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Over | 53c | 46.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 452 | 51.3%232 W · 220 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…18f1backed Under | 55c | 46.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.