MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1fb44491bd912c0e382bea29172596b6b9d1ad4cb6ea6ffe0ab7bf05ff2c476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 10,387$8,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers | 30c | 6,048$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.51 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 2,958$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 2,181$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 2,108$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 2,062$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.05 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,639$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.94 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,415$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.56 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 878.02$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.11 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 478.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 418.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 30c | 323.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 260.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 257.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 225.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 214.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 196$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…3d00backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 133.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 111.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…b4ebbacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 79.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 61.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 45.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 44.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.