TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0fc…4cb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$31.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$44.62
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.21
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$40.69
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.97
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rosenborg BK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.