MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02d8f44efeb0011dc1d1894a9025ca3b95a07edb4ead529e6dd0b72ebc3c0839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 417,792$213,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,548.09 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 146,974$71,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,820.41 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 106,632$53,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,311.33 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 72,681$35,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,861.69 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 40,064$19,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,231.88 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 31,129$15,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,701.3 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 22,281$11,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,788.13 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 19,103$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.8 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 19,032$9,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.98 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 9,000$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 8,456$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 5,928$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.31 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,411$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.27 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 3,252$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.44 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,024$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.71 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,518$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.77 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,434$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.64 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 2,294$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.1 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,064$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.67 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,036$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.17 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,783$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.39 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,732$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.54 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,435$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.81 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.28 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,296$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 1,146$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.4 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 15c | 977.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 943.61$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 936.54$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 908.31$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.37 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 18c | 775.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 699.48$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.83 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 621.3$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 576.64$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 557.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 504.85$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 424.06$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.21 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 420.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 389.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 365.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 316.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 316.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 277.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 267.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…83c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 238.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 218.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 203.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 195.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f954backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 186.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 186.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 231 | 56.7%131 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…1b06backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 178.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 134.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 126.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…466ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 124.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…ecb4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 110.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 107$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 102.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 94.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 93.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 91.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 85.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 79.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 69.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 66.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 58.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 57.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 57.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 55.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 53.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 52.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 51.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d28…8d6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 46.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 43.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee BrewersWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.