MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5efcf19da03b608663871c9ff7f4e75c5f91a74467519c32f32313c2d1beb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 22,755$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,394.78 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 20,362$13,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,343.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 20,347$7,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,225.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 18,035$6,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,907.38 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 17,612$10,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,523.17 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 10,000$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 10,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,649.92 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 7,824$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,263.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 6,664$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.94 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 5,926$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 5,878$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.22 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 5,347$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.94 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…8c4bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 4,325$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 3,804$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,456$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.04 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 3,320$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,076$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,680$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 2,344$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.99 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 2,334$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.56 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,294$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.23 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,136$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,115$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.77 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,929$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.18 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,903$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.69 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 1,749$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.34 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 15c | 1,731$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 1,653$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 1,620$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 1,524$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.22 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,518$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.74 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 1,489$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.32 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,449$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.68 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 1,289$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,182$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,077$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.14 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,076$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 1,066$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.45 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 990.28$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 960.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 953.3$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.28 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 906.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.29 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 886.54$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.97 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 855.77$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 854.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 831.1$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 822.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 771.68$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 749.89$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 701.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 613.28$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.78 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 606.11$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 596$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 563.03$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 542.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 534.3$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.7 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.9 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 523.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 511.37$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 490.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.37 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 482.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 438.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 437.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 427.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 410.21$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 398.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 397.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 390.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 389.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 382.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 369.78$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 365.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 365.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 358.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 356.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 350.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 346.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 340$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 334.07$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 308.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 305.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 300.17$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 299.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 295.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 294.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…d581backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 288.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 268.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 266.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.