MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19bbe36782dd640c5e639e80172873ad2758ba3b7db987b8c40adf58f22ec276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Miami Marlins, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 118,087$73,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,053.98 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 100,516$38,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,196.2 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 54,932$34,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,324.83 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 28,268$9,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,645 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 19,227$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 16,775$6,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,542.1 | 181 | 53%96 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 14,071$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,211.4 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 12,609$7,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 11,726$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.03 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 9,789$6,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.37 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 9,583$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.08 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 5,449$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.98 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 5,292$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.33 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 18c | 5,155$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.42 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 5,000$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.84 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 4,987$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.89 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 4,541$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.32 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 4,508$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.83 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 4,173$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.46 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 3,207$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.59 | 1,361 | 50.8%691 W · 670 L | +13.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 2,899$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 2,701$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 2,699$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.81 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,697$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 2,559$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,005$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.68 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed8…32e8backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,549$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,404$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,320$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,186$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 1,094$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,044$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,041$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.77 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,016$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9488backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 988.35$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 937.25$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.71 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 916.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 880$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 850$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 866 | 35.6%308 W · 558 L | -26.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 815.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 799.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…d28bbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 721.52$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 715.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.15 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 682.72$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 673.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 659.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 934 | 46%430 W · 504 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 635$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 605.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 564.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 553.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 543.22$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 534.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 522.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 506.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 760 | 44.5%338 W · 422 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 485.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 481.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 481.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 468$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 449.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 390$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 378.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 376.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 373.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 373.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 348.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 331.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 304.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 286.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 286$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 283.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 257$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 251.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers | 79c | 250.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 227.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 227.56$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 224.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 213.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 1,979 | 53.2%1,052 W · 927 L | +45.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 202.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 2,418 | 48.6%1,174 W · 1,244 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 201.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,209 | 29%351 W · 858 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 199.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 197.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 196.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 196.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 192.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 190.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 182.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 181.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 176.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-6.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.