TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins59c6,985$4,121 inLost-$4,121.441,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers41c6,155$2,523 inWon+$3,631.3565050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Miami Marlins60c5,001$3,001 inLost-$3,000.737048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Detroit Tigers40c2,410$964 inWon+$1,446.1736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers41c2,000$810 inWon+$1,1905,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins18c1,252$226 inLost-$225.661,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Detroit Tigers40c1,004$402 inWon+$602.475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Miami Marlins60c650.66$390 inLost-$390.46150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Miami Marlins62c604.88$375 inLost-$374.9310157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Detroit Tigers38c577.68$220 inWon+$358.1611134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins16c500$80 inLost-$809,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers40c400$160 inWon+$2406,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins25c310.83$76 inLost-$76.471,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdc…5697backed Miami Marlins56c267.74$150 inLost-$149.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1483…6603backed Detroit Tigers45c261.09$117 inWon+$143.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins12c235.79$29 inLost-$28.692,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins16c229.52$37 inLost-$36.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Miami Marlins58c167.22$97 inLost-$97.513248.5%64 W · 68 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers75c161$121 inWon+$40.255,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Tigers40c139.24$56 inWon+$83.61,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Detroit Tigers73c136.75$100 inWon+$36.9213256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Miami Marlins55c128.62$71 inLost-$70.7412552%65 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Detroit Tigers42c119.04$50 inWon+$69.0421847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Miami Marlins55c110.06$61 inLost-$60.5318754%101 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Detroit Tigers40c92.88$37 inWon+$55.7333547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Detroit Tigers41c52$21 inWon+$30.686355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Miami Marlins57c51.4$29 inLost-$29.2256946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Detroit Tigers41c49.52$20 inWon+$29.224864.6%31 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers42c49.12$21 inWon+$28.491,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Miami Marlins57c45.76$26 inLost-$26.0132348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers41c43.56$18 inWon+$25.72,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Miami Marlins59c41.33$24 inLost-$24.3912864.1%82 W · 46 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Detroit Tigers43c40.1$17 inWon+$22.855350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Detroit Tigers42c28.96$12 inWon+$16.7930750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2f…1b25backed Miami Marlins59c19.7$12 inLost-$11.624136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Detroit Tigers75c14.66$11 inWon+$3.6666749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.