TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,343,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,404,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,343,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Hurricanes40c393,035$155,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237,282.0122443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders58c194,113$112,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,440.4967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Islanders61c186,051$112,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,671.9741850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Hurricanes39c172,534$67,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,958.611644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders58c146,908$85,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,831.061,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Islanders60c58,411$35,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,162.7826849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Islanders60c51,121$30,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,852.7248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes42c45,992$19,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,740.3551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes42c45,370$19,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,107.3661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Islanders61c39,612$24,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,090.2120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders58c39,072$22,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,631.671,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Hurricanes41c35,934$14,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,303.768240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Hurricanes40c33,158$13,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,894.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders61c25,671$15,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,594.842,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a82…1307backed Islanders0c25,368$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.773339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Hurricanes39c24,835$9,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,079.911052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Islanders61c21,105$12,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,839.0418452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,80041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hurricanes46c16,999$7,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,179.614252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Islanders58c16,359$9,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.0433450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders59c14,700$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,700.0389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Islanders57c13,987$7,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,986.142,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes40c12,963$5,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,739.7859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f6…c6e0backed Islanders61c11,985$7,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,311.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Hurricanes44c11,771$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5898854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e7…68d2backed Hurricanes45c11,511$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.111533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Islanders60c11,450$6,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8704546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Hurricanes44c10,056$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,612.073647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf5…4145backed Islanders0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Islanders55c8,946$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,933.0940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Islanders62c8,888$5,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,510.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7b…9dcabacked Hurricanes40c7,444$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Islanders61c7,437$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.6337754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Islanders60c7,341$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,383.2314553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Hurricanes41c7,036$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.5812047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Hurricanes40c6,130$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6781250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…a795backed Hurricanes43c6,008$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes40c5,982$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.131,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Hurricanes45c5,589$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes45c5,500$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0e…718cbacked Hurricanes43c5,289$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Islanders61c5,130$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.33351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Hurricanes46c4,500$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4459751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes46c4,500$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes46c4,500$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.9243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders47c4,233$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.431,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Islanders61c4,164$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.519759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Hurricanes43c4,021$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.219038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd74…888dbacked Islanders43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7202445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Islanders41c3,876$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.5133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Hurricanes40c3,850$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3106262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hurricanes39c3,750$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.5938849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Islanders59c3,675$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.974247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e76…ef4ebacked Hurricanes40c3,674$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hurricanes42c3,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.442161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Islanders21c3,348$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.9740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Hurricanes43c3,006$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Hurricanes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Hurricanes40c2,912$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.27358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Islanders61c2,863$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.3119150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed Hurricanes40c2,820$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Hurricanes43c2,782$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.4442948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Islanders61c2,777$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.7111047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Hurricanes51c2,750$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9316446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Islanders57c2,687$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.4633554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hurricanes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Islanders59c2,446$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.61,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Islanders61c2,377$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9b…11f7backed Hurricanes43c2,300$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3112100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+141.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Hurricanes46c2,300$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.8483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Hurricanes50c2,244$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1221877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Hurricanes45c2,210$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.6940152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Hurricanes46c2,022$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.745949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hurricanes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.0526750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hurricanes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Islanders58c2,000$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.1111152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Islanders62c1,973$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.266256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Islanders50c1,813$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7613850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hurricanes42c1,720$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.618641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Islanders61c1,707$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0417755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Hurricanes43c1,704$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.8310066%66 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Hurricanes53c1,684$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.4848050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Islanders60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009060%54 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Hurricanes40c1,665$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9996758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Hurricanes45c1,618$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.6641354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hurricanes40c1,617$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.9466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c11…a98dbacked Hurricanes45c1,568$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…deb5backed Hurricanes45c1,507$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Islanders57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8554465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa033…a2e4backed Hurricanes45c1,490$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Hurricanes40c1,428$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.55230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Hurricanes44c1,425$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79813850.7%70 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hurricanes56c1,420$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.0914946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes43c1,306$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.831,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Hurricanes42c1,289$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.0233941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Islanders61c1,264$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.345444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Hurricanes41c1,258$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.532050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Hurricanes44c1,249$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.274264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Hurricanes42c1,208$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.646845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.