TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc29a…7816backed Over50c13,728$6,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,815.988240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,110$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.532,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c2,685$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.9989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a46…2294backed Under50c2,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Under50c2,416$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.3719050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0101,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c1,548$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.962,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c1,363$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.6622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c1,328$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.6310663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,275$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.612,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Under50c1,248$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c1,186$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.112,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.982250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c829.22$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.6317761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over52c617.78$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2438849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec9…2f29backed Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c594.15$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under51c576.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.3411152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c484.62$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.581,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c477.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7525449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under52c422.12$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.621,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c306$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.881,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over59c305.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.591,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c265$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.820756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f2…a255backed Under49c224.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over25c221.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.562,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under71c211.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.676659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4245…a769backed Under52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5950…393dbacked Over49c208.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x603a…22fabacked Under49c207.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…95dcbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2add…453cbacked Under52c196$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under53c192.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.455358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x380f…309bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under51c190.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under74c168$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.861,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over47c140.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under50c136.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.117448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under49c113.51$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.893452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c106.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over52c102.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.519141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c102.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c97.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5133554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4286049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6356553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under51c77.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4543250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.910240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.23842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Over67c59.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404161%25 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under80c51.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2223950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2621155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.560449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over52c48.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4711253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under50c38.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2531828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6227659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Over43c36.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.672540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over51c36.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.696043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be6…738dbacked Under53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under68c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5622250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under51c30.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9921463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.018053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under68c28.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.258964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under55c28.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.878349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c26.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae0…923bbacked Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8560…3c33backed Under53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c25.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under49c24.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4214551%74 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5265721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3d20…c495backed Over48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeccf…beebbacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb979…a2c0backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b4…3991backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac34…320ebacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f9…111ebacked Over48c23.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92ba…6008backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507d…c144backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…164cbacked Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddc…3077backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9dc…0922backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.