NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629e92fd2776188cdd46c4bf515dc64060e82d39576e37217a653d5eee1f68bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Islanders, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Hurricanes | 66c | 4,474$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 34c | 2,063$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.43 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 35c | 2,007$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.28 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Islanders | 35c | 1,103$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.75 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 34c | 1,001$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.37 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Hurricanes | 68c | 999.98$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 33c | 978.6$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 890.55$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Hurricanes | 68c | 619.29$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Hurricanes | 70c | 523.94$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.89 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Hurricanes | 70c | 295$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Islanders | 29c | 287.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Hurricanes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 34c | 198.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Hurricanes | 70c | 193.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Islanders | 30c | 191.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Islanders | 37c | 139.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Islanders | 29c | 134.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Islanders | 34c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…9d57backed Hurricanes | 65c | 133.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hurricanes | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Islanders | 32c | 118.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Islanders | 30c | 114.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hurricanes | 70c | 112.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…8039backed Islanders | 35c | 101.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Hurricanes | 66c | 100.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Islanders | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Islanders | 32c | 78.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Hurricanes | 65c | 74.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Islanders | 37c | 68.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Islanders | 32c | 63.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Hurricanes | 69c | 62.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Islanders | 32c | 62.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hurricanes | 58c | 59.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Islanders | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Islanders | 41c | 57.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Hurricanes | 70c | 56.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hurricanes | 64c | 53.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hurricanes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Islanders | 35c | 47.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Hurricanes | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Islanders | 32c | 43.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes | 67c | 35.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Islanders | 35c | 34.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Islanders | 35c | 33.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 73c | 32.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Islanders | 34c | 31.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Hurricanes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Hurricanes | 67c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. IslandersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.