MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb10980a4e2699225a50ee6433bf9845a0e66bb713cf8aa482066df7a9d604109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Houston Astros, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $977,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,009,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $977,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Houston Astros | 41c | 470,291$192,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,923.96 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 107,857$64,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,142.85 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 95,306$60,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,263.16 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 78,950$46,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,369.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 58,928$35,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,273.24 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 58,863$34,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,732.85 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 52,874$31,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,297.45 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 32,073$11,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,867.01 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 23,183$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.73 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Astros | 42c | 22,966$9,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,652.16 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 22,704$13,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,482.08 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 20,328$11,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,372.4 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 18,785$10,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,808.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 16,793$10,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.69 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…feccbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 42c | 12,319$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 12,151$7,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.73 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 9,580$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 8,895$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.72 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 7,992$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.8 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 7,827$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.79 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…5939backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 6,225$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 6,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…e292backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,952$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 5,679$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.36 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 5,597$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 5,381$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.23 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 5,184$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 11c | 5,162$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.46 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 4,584$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.99 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Houston Astros | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Houston Astros | 37c | 3,849$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.06 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,725$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,706$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,261$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Houston Astros | 5c | 2,732$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…30b9backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,590$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,577$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.57 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 2,539$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.13 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,359$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.53 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,748$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.69 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,714$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.22 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,714$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Houston Astros | 1c | 1,677$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,661$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,647$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.86 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 19c | 1,642$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Houston Astros | 10c | 1,606$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,600$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Houston Astros | 23c | 1,557$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…be5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,465$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 18c | 1,346$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,339$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.63 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,318$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 1,179$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.84 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,132$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.53 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,094$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.7 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,084$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.3 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 7c | 1,036$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,019$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.27 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,010$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 990.3$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…e97bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 972.92$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 9c | 971.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Houston Astros | 18c | 950.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Houston Astros | 21c | 944.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 943.21$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 875.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.37 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 871.12$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 42c | 780$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 747.59$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.94 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Houston Astros | 42c | 729.76$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 726.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 682.85$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Houston Astros | 43c | 676.29$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Houston Astros | 41c | 649.33$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 625.57$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 576.03$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Houston Astros | 20c | 571.75$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 554.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 552.43$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Houston Astros | 6c | 550.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 531.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.15 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 529.83$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Houston Astros | 37c | 529.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.