TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8098…fecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+211.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.18
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.99
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.48
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.17
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+1,003.7%+$234.7
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+515.5%+$522.05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,065.1%+$973.11
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+310.4%+$219.23
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.32
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.78
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.55
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$41.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$122.02
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+151.8%+$211.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.56
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+65.7%+$38.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.39
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.28
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+141.9%+$192.34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+70.3%+$91.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$89.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$12.91
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+126.5%+$21.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geabacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.