TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$374,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,668 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over48c178,975$86,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,486.6210450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over50c57,533$28,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,766.496048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c50,628$26,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,379.094,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c21,125$10,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,562.550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c20,023$10,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,011.518756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under55c18,024$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c15,706$8,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,034.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c12,500$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2508041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c12,245$6,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,122.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under51c11,467$5,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,876.183540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c9,563$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…c211backed Under52c9,463$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,920.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c9,407$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.4911146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c9,000$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,709.9330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c8,228$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,223.5869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c7,200$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6405757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c6,948$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5713345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c6,510$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.643,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over50c5,554$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7772524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c5,147$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.12,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c4,460$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked Under51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under52c3,576$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.525757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Under51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under52c2,804$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under52c2,550$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3266360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under52c2,308$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over44c2,289$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.048252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under50c2,091$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c1,890$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.83438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over38c1,817$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.848433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under54c1,659$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under52c1,596$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.922753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under50c1,528$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.776746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under53c1,500$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c1,196$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under4c1,070$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c1,000$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.2420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under52c940$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c794$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under52c615.38$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under52c606$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.151747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2346950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over50c576$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2885330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9111345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Under54c510.09$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26027652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2658142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over61c492.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.092638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over47c479$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8711741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under51c470.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Over79c453$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.134676.1%35 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c433.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5112445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over19c431.58$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5810245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5317458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.45158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under61c393.2$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.541,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c375$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under52c372.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9220245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c360$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.212951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c345.1$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.451,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under78c319.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c303.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.48732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4b…22aebacked Over43c302.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under51c298.47$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.226460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1c…db37backed Under54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under52c280$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under52c277.28$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1911853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over50c264$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under51c263.43$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3530749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.