La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d9e557bdb4e8767bbc7f04c38b731be46785c98aa2db8656a4855dfe656a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Mallorcaof Elche CF, RCD Mallorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,621 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RCD Mallorca | 78c | 1,455$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Elche CF | 22c | 1,248$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Elche CF | 25c | 868.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RCD Mallorca | 75c | 771.1$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Elche CF | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RCD Mallorca | 78c | 247.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Elche CF | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Elche CF | 23c | 217.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8241…32bdbacked RCD Mallorca | 73c | 166.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…ffc3backed Elche CF | 27c | 166.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…e290backed RCD Mallorca | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Elche CF | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RCD Mallorca | 77c | 37.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed RCD Mallorca | 79c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.