La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x445defe54295060e2d81b12949359435933819206406f8104cce39f48e1fe935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,484 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 11,939$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.09 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 73c | 6,205$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 5,649$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.31 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 73c | 4,001$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.39 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 50c | 2,980$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 2,367$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.1 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 2,058$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.35 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 73c | 1,035$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 738.23$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.72 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 74c | 581.08$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 51c | 561.89$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 72c | 521.77$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 21c | 518.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 30c | 468.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…455dbacked Under | 52c | 385.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 329.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…9118backed Under | 75c | 296$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…0117backed Over | 25c | 296$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 78c | 294$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Over | 26c | 290.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 276.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 27c | 264.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 30c | 205.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 198.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 73c | 197.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 192.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 28c | 188$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 65c | 184.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 59c | 183.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 175.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 55c | 166.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 44c | 132$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 116$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 74c | 104.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 102.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 27c | 96.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 21c | 95.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 27c | 95.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 47c | 94.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 80c | 93.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…69b6backed Over | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +105%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 90.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…dbc9backed Over | 36c | 75.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4b…22aebacked Under | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 58c | 67.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 65c | 59.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 70c | 55.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…f8bfbacked Under | 68c | 39.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 66c | 36.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 43c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 35c | 29.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 58c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…7196backed Under | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 72c | 13.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5this page
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.