TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Elche CFof RCD Mallorca, Elche CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,417 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf00…353fbacked RCD Mallorca10c1,249$125 inLost-$124.858433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked RCD Mallorca11c909.09$100 inLost-$1005440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked RCD Mallorca10c360$36 inLost-$3611146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked RCD Mallorca11c313.64$33 inLost-$335349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed RCD Mallorca9c176.98$16 inLost-$15.9311120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed RCD Mallorca10c100$10 inLost-$1048934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed RCD Mallorca10c100$10 inLost-$106418.8%12 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.