TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7a0…aee2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
300
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT13146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+101%+$605.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.58
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$442.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$114.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$29.12
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.47
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$121.23
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.93
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.72
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$57.56
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$1,507.23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$217.7
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$147.37
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$127.96
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$88.66
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.07
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$124.88
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$277.62
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$896
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.